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Canada’s Credit Trap

Debt Still Growing Faster Than the Economy

Look at this chart.

Mortgage credit in Canada is still expanding month-to-month — around 0.2–0.5%. Annualized, that’s 3–6% growth. Here’s the issue:

GDP is crawling along at ~1–2%. Household incomes are only rising ~2–3%. Yet debt growth is running ahead of both. That’s the definition of an exponential trap: debt compounding faster than the economy th…

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